What is a Black Swan Event? In the 19th century, John Stuart Mill described seemingly impossible events that may one day be proven true as Black Swans. In the Western world, all swans were thought to be white until, in 1697, a dutch explorer spotted black swans on the shore of the Swan River in Australia. This story shines a light on how little we can truly say is true. A consequential black swan event, the 2008 financial crisis, was said to be impossible. Nevertheless, a confluence of factors led to the financial crisis, most notably an opaque financial system. Millions of people were unprepared. Some had mortgages they couldn't afford and, as a result, lost their homes...
Adapting to a Warming World
Worse than Expected Recent headlines revealed that the impacts of climate change are even worse than initially expected. It comes as no surprise to me that researchers' climate change models were wrong. Anticipating weather events is difficult enough, but attempting to predict the speed, scale, and effects of such a dynamic and complex phenomenon as global warming is borderline arrogant. While I completely support researchers' efforts, I think it is impossible to truly understand the harm we are causing in continuing to warm the globe. It's imperative we change our behaviors if we want to improve the conditions in which we live. Countless papers, blog posts, articles...
5 Reasons Why Tech Will Lead to SHTF
The Problem with Moving Fast: Things Break Tech developments are advancing at an exponential pace. Many believe this to be a good thing, as catchy mottos like "move fast and break things" have gone mainstream. Pressure to create, innovate, and scale has led to incredible changes in the way we live, which, up to this point, have largely been positive. That said, the competition among these technology companies resulted in some devastating consequences that cannot be repaired. Evolution tells us that only the fittest survive. It's no wonder why companies, which are simply human collectives, display many of the same behaviors each employee does. In this post, I suggest that our h...
Preparation for The Event
Preparation is Necessary The world has become more unstable than it ever has before. The Doomsday Clock is now two minutes to midnight due to the threats of nuclear war, artificial intelligence, and natural disasters. Governments are silencing their citizens. Technology companies continue to increase their power through data collection and the continued development of sophisticated algorithms. The most important aspect of preparation for The Event is knowing what you're up against, so I've listed the potential causes of The Event below: Uncontrollable Technology The California Elites (CEs) love their technology. They say they want to save the world, but we know bett...